Boeing's Commercial Services Market Outlook projects $4.7 trillion in aviation support and services demand from 2025 through 2044. The forecast covers maintenance, engineering, logistics, digital solutions, and training, with workforce requirements at the center. The industry will need 710,000 new maintenance technicians globally over the 20-year period to support the growing commercial fleet.

The global MRO market is projected to reach approximately $97 billion in 2026, up from $91 billion in 2025. A broader accounting that includes business aviation and regional operators puts total global aftermarket spending at $136 billion for 2025. Both figures reflect an industry still catching up from pandemic-era fleet deferrals while absorbing new narrowbody deliveries at rising production rates.

On the production side, Boeing is targeting 737 deliveries of approximately 500 aircraft in 2026, a 12% increase over 2025, with production rate targeting 47 aircraft per month by midyear. Each new aircraft entering the global fleet creates a multi-decade maintenance obligation, compounding the workforce shortage as the installed base expands.

Passenger traffic growth of 4.9% forecast for 2026 will require the active global fleet to grow from roughly 34,600 aircraft today to 45,000 aircraft by 2035. That fleet expansion, combined with an aging installed base and persistent technician shortages, keeps long-range MRO demand well-supported through the forecast period.