North America will represent approximately $159 billion of the $848 billion global commercial engine MRO market over the 2026-2035 period, about 18.8 percent of total global demand, according to Aviation Week's Fleet and MRO Forecast. The Asia-Pacific region, including China, captures the largest share at 33.4 percent of global commercial engine MRO demand over the same decade.

Aviation Week's forecast projects a record engine MRO growth trajectory driven by the combination of a maturing global fleet, constrained new engine production, and strong passenger demand recovery. The global in-service commercial fleet is expected to grow from approximately 34,600 aircraft in 2026 to 45,000 aircraft by 2035.

Engine maintenance costs represent the single largest variable operating cost for most commercial airlines, and the 10-year MRO outlook of $1.6 trillion reflects both fleet growth and the higher per-shop-visit costs associated with more complex next-generation engine architectures.

The CFM56, V2500, and older variants of the CFM LEAP and Pratt and Whitney GTF remain high-volume workhorses for independent MRO shops in North America. As these engines age through mid-life maintenance intervals, the volume and value of shop visits is expected to increase.

Workforce availability continues to be cited by maintenance, repair, and overhaul operators as a constraint on capacity utilization, particularly for engine test cell operations and borescope inspection specialties.

Source: Aviation Week Network -- https://aviationweek.com/mro/aircraft-propulsion/projected-global-engine-mro-demand-2026