The global silver market is on course for its sixth consecutive annual supply deficit in 2026, projected at 46.3 million ounces, widening from a 40.3 million ounce shortfall in 2025, according to the Silver Institute's World Silver Survey. The persistent gap between demand and supply has kept the metal exposed to sharp price moves.
Industrial demand remains the largest single driver even as it eases slightly. Total industrial use is expected to slip 3 percent in 2026 to 639.6 million ounces. Solar photovoltaic manufacturers cut silver consumption by 19 percent, to roughly 151 million ounces, as sustained high prices pushed panel makers to design silver out of their products. Even that reduction has not closed the deficit.
Investment demand is offsetting the industrial pullback. Global coin and net bar demand rose 14 percent in 2025, supported by a 33 percent jump in physical investment in India, while exchange-traded products recorded net inflows of 68.3 million ounces. The Silver Institute forecasts an 18 percent increase in physical investment in 2026, which would mark the highest level since 2022.
The data describe a market where retail and institutional buyers are absorbing metal faster than manufacturers are shedding it. With mine and recycling supply unable to close the gap, analysts warn that 2026 may bring wild volatility rather than a steady climb.
Source: The Silver Institute -- https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/